A proactive analysis of potential liability is a cost effective way to prevent otherwise unexpected lawsuits. Potential liability depends on District demographics; the presence of polarized voting; and past voting for or against “protected class” candidates in District and overlapping elections (such as city, county, and state elections).
NDC understands the difficult financial situation facing California local governments today. Our approach is efficient and minimizes the expense to our clients. If the initial demographic data makes clear whether or not a District faces liability, our work ends after that initial analysis with only minimal cost. If the answer is not clear from the initial demographic analysis, we recommend looking at potential polarized voting patterns in statewide elections, as this analysis more cost effective than full blown analysis of local elections. Only if those results remain indecisive do we recommend the more expensive analysis of local elections. In this step by step manner, we ensure that you receive the information needed to make an informed decision in the most cost-effective manner possible. At every step of the process NDC provides background information, puts the data in context, and answers any questions that may arise.
Our analysis will provide you with the confidence and legal protection that arises from using only the most up-to-date information available. There have been recent and significant changes in the old 2005-2009 data provided at the time of the 2011 redistricting. As far as we know, we are the only firm using the latest Census data from the 2007-2011 American Community Survey, and we will move to the 2008-2012 data as soon as it is released by the Census Bureau.
Be careful: some firms claim to do CVRA vulnerability analysis but use only the 2005-2009 data that they download from the California Statewide Database. While it was relevant when originally posted for the 2011 state redistricting, that data is now far out of date and analysis based on it are dangerously misleading.
While CVRA is extremely broad, not every jurisdiction is in violation: most of the over 200 California jurisdictions for whom NDC performed this specialized analysis did not need to change to district or trustee area elections.
Contact NDC for your risk analysis today.